The biggest casualty of Ethiopia’s brewing conflict will be its people, then its economy

Ethiopia’s prime minister Abiy Ahmed is under pressure to end the conflict with its northern state of Tigray as the regional dispute gets closer to spiraling into a full-blown civil war which would impact millions of ordinary Ethiopians and devastate an economy which has regularly been hailed as one of the world’s fastest-growing over the last decade.

Ethiopia shifts focus from war to economy, U.N. worries about Tigray

“Those aspirations are now at risk. Instability that began even before the Tigray conflict – due to ethnic clashes and other problems – may scare off investors already skittish about the impact of COVID-19 and rapidly-rising Ethiopian government debt. Foreign textiles firms worry about existing investments.”

WFP VAM | Food Security Analysis Ethiopia Monthly Market Watch, December 2020

Page 3-4 about Tigray market, Mekelle in particular in Table 1 on pg.4 showing pricing increase of different goods and services. ‘Food prices have continued to spike compared to the pre-crisis level. This change within a month into the crisis is predictable as essential food commodities are necessities and therefore not responsive to price. As shown in Table 1, the price of cereals has increased between 56 to 100 percent since the onset of the crisis. Fuel prices increased in multi-fold during the same period.’

Businesses in Tigray appeal for government support

According to Sheba Leather Industry Marketing and business development manager, Zerabruk, over 100 million birr worth of property has been lost due to burglary and fire at the factory, stressing the need for government support in finance and easing official procedures at customs and financial institutions. Abera Tasew, shareholder of Sabana irrigation and AJJ diary, lamented the burning of properties and the stealing of 500 dairy cattle in Raya.